Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 6.741550 7.441907 8.218669 9.150799 10.248060 11.510172 13.088726
2025-02-02 5.961541 6.969909 8.191751 9.812436 11.955913 14.771954 18.896307
2025-02-09 5.436065 6.597243 8.089757 10.213939 13.278882 17.759253 25.298517
2025-02-16 4.948320 6.164860 7.795951 10.242077 14.018790 20.047171 31.527525
2025-02-23 4.662216 5.946184 7.734892 10.552019 15.197721 23.312596 41.035326
2025-03-02 4.244980 5.493366 7.274822 10.170306 15.158739 24.434830 46.869568
2025-03-09 3.931359 5.154226 6.937581 9.921375 15.278426 25.867931 54.341467
2025-03-16 3.696746 4.906865 6.708643 9.809398 15.609813 27.822210 64.721562
2025-03-23 3.589981 4.837362 6.742596 10.139119 16.837496 32.186171 87.160699
2025-03-30 3.361744 4.565232 6.428040 9.811616 16.678526 33.182227 98.762005
2025-04-06 3.151318 4.306565 6.114179 9.448392 16.379064 33.730659 109.490271
2025-04-13 2.962916 4.070944 5.820825 9.091695 16.034545 34.063332 120.090726
2025-04-20 2.825327 3.919652 5.677106 9.042849 16.470696 37.157887 155.835099
2025-04-27 2.812027 3.967575 5.878882 9.702275 18.771159 47.754895 303.778608
2025-05-04 2.755154 3.939064 5.943549 10.097478 20.567255 58.478637 618.035520
2025-05-11 2.651272 3.824232 5.841706 10.125159 21.395110 66.226083 1176.522662
2025-05-18 2.592626 3.780947 5.865496 10.429850 23.132277 80.734925 4452.014905
2025-05-25 2.454978 3.593597 5.604447 10.054594 22.687346 82.836183 9103.700272
2025-06-01 2.343957 3.446472 5.409375 9.809813 22.609016 87.427920 42566.489888
2025-06-08 2.257161 3.336889 5.278222 9.699687 22.955548 95.677476 NaN
2025-06-15 2.224573 3.320387 5.325410 10.023929 24.920706 120.637857 NaN
2025-06-22 2.125998 3.181295 5.121167 9.701868 24.449038 123.650523 NaN
2025-06-29 2.030023 3.042928 4.910781 9.344579 23.770442 124.003933 NaN